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  Gold Bullion Investors "Playing Waiting Game" Ahead of ECB and Fed Meetings - 30 July 2012
31/7/2012 12:30:00 PM
Gold Bullion prices dipped below $1620 per ounce during Monday morning's London session – slightly below where they ended on Friday – while stocks gained and US Treasuries fell, with markets focused on key monetary policy decisions due later in the week. Silver Bullion hovered around $27.70 an ounce – in line with last week's close – while other commodities were also broadly flat. German 2-Year government bond yields hit a new record low this morning, falling further below zero to -0.096% ahead of an auction of Italian 10-Year debt. German bund yields then climbed higher, although remained in negative territory, after Italy successfully sold just under €5.5 billion of 10-Year bonds at an average yield of 5.96% – down from 6.19% at a similar auction last month. Last week, benchmark 10-Year yields on Italian bonds rose as high as 6.7%, while Spanish 10-Year yields set a new Euro-era high at 7.75%. German 10-year debt this morning was trading at a yield of less than 1.4%. "What the... Read More
 
 
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27/04/2017
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    Gold News

26/04/2017
GOLD PRICES set new 2-week lows against a rising US Dollar on Wednesday, hitting $1262 per ounce as European stock markets slipped from their two-day surge and commodity prices also fell.
 
US Treasury bonds ticked down, nudging 10-year yields up to 2-week highs at 2.34%.
 
Ahead of President Trump unveiling what he's trailed as major tax reforms, the US Dollar meantime pushed higher against major currencies, recovering over half-a-cent from its weakest level to the single-currency Euro since late October.
 
Washington is set to mark Trump's first 100 days in office this weekend with a government shutdown unless Congress approves an extra $1 trillion in new debt.
 
Gold prices have risen 4.3% since 20 January in Dollar terms.
 
Gold priced in the Japanese Yen, in contrast, has risen only 1.4%.
 
Chart of Dollar-priced gold vs. gold in Japanese Yen per gram (right)
 
Benchmark gold prices slipped 0.4% overnight in China, the No.1 consumer nation, falling less than Dollar gold's drop as the Yuan fell together with Euros, Sterling and most other major currencies versus the greenback on the FX market.
 
That pushed the Shanghai premium – the incentive to shipping new imports of bullion to China from the world's key wholesale storage point of London – up to a 2-week high of $10 per ounce.
 
Gold priced in Yen meantime rose towards a 7-week high as the Japanese currency fell hardest against the Dollar.
 
Dollar gold prices have, over the 108 trading days since Trump won the US election last November, shown a stronger relationship with the Japanese Yen than any time since 1971 according to BullionVault analysis today.
 
Showing an average r-coefficient of -0.45 on a daily basis over the last 5 years, gold's negative correlation with the Dollar's value in Yen terms has jumped to -0.85 since Trump was inaugurated.
 
That beats the previous peak negative correlations of New Year 1979 and summer 2004
Chart of Dollar gold's daily correlation with USDJPY, 108-day rolling average. Source: BullionVault
 
"A tax reform plan could give renewed energy to the reflation trade and damage bullion," says the latest weekly note from analyst Jonathan Butler at Japanese conglomerate Mitsubishi.
 
"[But] in reality any reform will be forced to go through the machinations of Congress, which will most likely vote down any proposal that seeks to increase the Federal debt level."
 
Looking ahead to Thursday's meeting of the European Central Bank however – and with gold falling this week even as the Dollar dropped versus the Euro following centrist Emmanuel Macron's strong showing in the first round of France's presidential election – "renewed strength in the Dollar could further hamper gold," Butler says.
 
"April is likely to be as good as it gets for gold in Q2," said a note from Chinese-owned bullion bank ICBC Standard late last week.
 
"That said, we are talking about consolidation, not capitulation."
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